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Seasonality Trends

In R, Prophet was used to create an additive regression model to forecast 365 days past the end of the modeled time series

Seasonality data was analyzed using the prophet_plot_components() function

Datasets

SPY (S&P 500 ETF) 5 years

Bitcoin (BTC) 5 years

United States Dollar (USD) 5 years

Overview of Analysis in
Prophet

prophet_description.png

Results

Graphical visualizations show the discrepancies in seasonality between USD, Bitcoin, and the S&P 500. The graphs identify unique differences between all of the assets listed above, with USD and the S&P being much more similar. This could be due to differences between regulated and deregulated asset classes.

Bitcoin Forecast

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin Seasonality

bitcoin_forecast.png

Bitcoin Seasonality

bitcoin_seasonality.png

S&P500 Forecast

S&P500 Seasonality

spy_forecast.png
spy_trending_seasonality.png
S&P500

US Dollar Forecast

usd_forecast.png

US Dollar Seasonality

usd_seasonality.png
US Dollar
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